"CNBC" said : Why the Congressional Budget Office score on GOP health-care bill is so critical to markets

The Congressional Budget Office's scoring of the House health-care bill could determine whether Republicans can keep their pledge to replace Obamacare this year, analysts say. In order to be part of budget reconciliation, the health-care bill can't show a deficit outside of a 10-year period. The first version of the House health-care bill showed 24 million fewer people would have health care than under Obamacare, than under the new American Health Care Act. "The only thing the market cares about is the tax bill. If the House has to go back and redo this bill, it's very unlikely they'll have health care at all," Clifton said.


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CBO score on AHCA, GOP healthcare bill

Margot Sanger-Katz at The New York Times polled six healthcare experts ahead of the new CBO score, and their estimates ranged from 20 million more uninsured to 25 million. But two amendments that were added to the bill just before it passed through the House of Representatives have changed the game significantly for the CBO score. The new CBO score could make it even worse. The previous score estimated that 24 million fewer Americans would have health coverage by 2026 than under the current baseline. "I think we could still see substantial coverage losses but maybe not to the same degree as the previous CBO score," Cox told Business Insider.


The CBO found that health insurance premiums would go up under the AHCA, as well. Enacting the American Health Care Act would lead to a reduction of $119 billion in the deficit by 2026. (Brendan Hoffman/Getty Images) (Photo: Brendan Hoffman, 2008 Getty Images)An estimated 23 million more Americans would lose health insurance coverage by 2026 under the American Health Care Act. "Less healthy people would face extremely high premiums, despite the additional funding that would be available under [the AHCA] to help reduce premiums," the report states. The report notes that premiums would go up an average of 20 percent by 2018 and 5 percent in 2019.


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collected by :John Miller